Bitcoin Valuation Models

14 min readarticle

Explore various models used to estimate Bitcoin's fair value.

Valuation Models:

  • Stock-to-Flow: Scarcity-based model
  • Metcalfe's Law: Network effect valuation
  • Production Cost: Mining cost floor
  • Monetary Velocity: MV = PQ equation
  • Total Addressable Market: % of gold, M2
  • Power Law: Long-term growth trajectory

Model Limitations:

  • Past performance ≠ future results
  • Models can break
  • Multiple variables
  • Black swan events
Stock-to-Flow Explained
Stock-to-Flow Explained